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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 14.0% 86.0% -
Margin 6.9% 93.1% +14.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Log Adjusted 14.8% 85.2% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 0 2 11 -
E. Washington * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
M. Lyons * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 9 13 -
T. Fow * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 14 17 -
T. Broekhuis * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
D. Brooks 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 17 24 -
M. Fitzgerald 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 7 9 -
Z. Bohannon 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 6 -
T. Stewart 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Brakeville 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 8 13 -
D. Gary * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 0 0 3 17 25 -
D. Gordon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 3 3 13 24 -
A.J. Hardeman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 15 -
P. McDonald * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 6 12 -
J. Fenton 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 11 16 -
C. Adams 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
A. Kirk 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter