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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 2.9% 97.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 3.3% 96.7% - โœ—
Margin 66.8% 33.2% -3.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrel Reed * 37 3-7 1-3 4-5 4 1 2 0 3 11 8 -
M. Morris Sr. * 32 7-15 0-0 7-8 10 3 0 0 5 21 14 -
Brady Morningstar * 31 2-8 1-2 0-2 7 2 0 0 4 5 2 -
Elijah Johnson * 26 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Morris * 24 4-6 0-0 2-3 8 2 2 0 5 10 11 -
Tyshawn Taylor 17 0-4 0-0 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 4 3 -
Thomas Robinson 17 6-8 0-0 3-6 13 0 1 0 3 15 18 -
Mario Little 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Selby 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Travis Releford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Denmon * 36 4-12 2-7 9-9 4 1 1 0 0 19 13 -
Ricardo Ratliffe * 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Phil Pressey * 14 1-4 0-2 4-4 1 1 3 0 2 6 5 -
Justin Safford * 12 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Matt Pressey * 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -
Laurence Bowers 34 8-13 0-0 6-8 10 1 5 0 0 22 25 -
Michael Dixon 30 1-9 1-6 7-10 5 5 2 0 1 10 12 -
Kim English 23 1-5 0-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 4 3 -5 -
Steve Moore 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Rick Kreklow 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 -

* = starter