Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 27 | - |
| D. Summers * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 27 | - |
| D. Green * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| G. Sherman * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. Kebler * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Appling | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D. Roe | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| A. Thornton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Nix | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Payne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Novak * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Player #45979 * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 22 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. McLimans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Christian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter