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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.0% 50.0% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 81.2% 18.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mavraides * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 25 31 -
I. Hummer * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 1 4 12 17 -
D. Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 5 5 -
P. Saunders * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Connolly * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Maddox 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 14 22 -
M. Darrow 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
W. Barrett 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
T.J. Bray 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Foley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 4 15 17 -
B. Curry * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 10 1 1 2 10 22 -
C. Webster * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
K. Casey * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 24 29 -
K. Wright * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 6 2 13 22 -
L. Rivard 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
M. Brown 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 9 -
J. Georgatos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter