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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% - โœ—
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 โœ— (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - โœ—

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Abromaitis * 38 5-12 1-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
Carleton Scott * 38 5-10 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 13 8 -
Scott Martin * 34 2-4 0-1 0-3 6 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
Tyrone Nash * 29 3-7 0-0 7-9 5 2 1 0 0 13 14 -
Ben Hansbrough * 27 8-9 5-6 0-0 4 5 0 1 4 21 18 -
Eric Atkins 21 2-6 1-4 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 6 3 -
Jack Cooley 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 40 11-22 2-7 10-10 6 1 1 0 1 34 19 -
Jeremy Lamb * 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
Roscoe Smith * 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Charles Okwandu * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Niels Giffey * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shabazz Napier 27 4-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 9 8 -
Alex Oriakhi 24 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Donnell Beverly 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter