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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -3 (67-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abromaitis * 38 5-12 1-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
C. Scott * 38 5-10 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 13 8 -
S. Martin * 34 2-4 0-1 0-3 6 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
T. Nash * 29 3-7 0-0 7-9 5 2 1 0 0 13 14 -
B. Hansbrough * 27 8-9 5-6 0-0 4 5 0 1 4 21 18 -
E. Atkins 21 2-6 1-4 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 6 3 -
J. Cooley 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker * 40 11-22 2-7 10-10 6 1 1 0 1 34 19 -
J. Lamb * 30 4-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
R. Smith * 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
C. Okwandu * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
N. Giffey * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Napier 27 4-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 9 8 -
A. Oriakhi 24 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Beverly 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter