Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +18 (66-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ogide * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Green * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Smith * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Franklin * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Nigon * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Eikmeier | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| P. Hornung | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Carr | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Bell | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wiltz | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Sabas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 37 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -7 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| B. White * | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Rahon | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Franklin | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter