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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.1% 35.9% -
Log Adjusted 64.1% 35.9% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McShane * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 2 3 -
R. Nelson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 2 0 8 34 34 -
O. Johnson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 1 1 17 31 -
J. Burton * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 1 0 3 2 13 -
A. Brandt * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 4 11 19 -
D. Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Abbott * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 3 0 2 22 32 -
R. Kuksiks * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 18 24 -
J. McMillan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 5 0 1 10 25 -
T. Lockett * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 6 14 -
R. Pateev * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 0 5 -
J. Bachynski 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 2 2 8 -
K. Cain 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 4 -
C. Felix 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 3 10 -
C. Hawkins 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
K. King 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Creekmur 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter