Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Blake * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Eli Holman * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Nick Minnerath * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chase Simon * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ray McCallum * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jason Calliste | 18 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| LaMarcus Lowe | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donavan Foster | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Evan Bruinsma | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Connor Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood * | 31 | 11-22 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 10 | - |
| R. Broekhoff * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| E. Buggs * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| H. Little * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kenney | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Harris | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Van Wijk | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Rogers | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| C. Witt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Shelton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter