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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% -
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% -
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -3 (57-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young * 36 3-12 0-0 5-6 4 7 0 0 1 11 9 -
J. Manigat * 32 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
D. McDermott * 30 6-11 1-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 4 16 8 -
K. Korver * 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 3 6 -
G. Echenique * 21 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 4 2 5 -
K. Lawson Jr. 22 7-9 4-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 18 14 -
J. Jones 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Ashford 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Runnels 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran * 35 3-7 2-5 0-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
A. James * 33 5-13 0-1 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 10 3 -
J. Koch * 31 6-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 15 12 -
K. Ahelegbe * 31 6-14 1-5 1-2 6 4 1 0 1 14 10 -
A. Pehl * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Dunham 31 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 4 1 3 5 -
M. Sonnen 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
C. Rank 10 3-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 7 3 -

* = starter