Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +2 (52-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Holmes * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Colt Ryan * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Harris * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kavon Lacey * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Pieter van Tongeren * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Troy Taylor | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Clint Hopf | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ned Cox | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Jahr | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Dwayne Lathan * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Carl Richard * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Carter * | 23 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Myles Walker * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Printy | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Steve McWhorter | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isiah Martin | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Koang Doluony | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Eitel | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter