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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Cornell Big Red Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.5% 56.5% -
Log Adjusted 43.4% 56.6% -

Actual: Cornell Big Red +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan * 38 4-11 2-6 2-3 4 6 1 0 1 12 11 -
S. McGonagill * 37 4-12 1-4 1-3 4 5 1 0 1 10 7 -
T. Halpern * 33 6-16 4-9 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 18 8 -
G. Leffelman * 25 1-4 1-3 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Walker * 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. McCarthy 21 5-7 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 2 3 14 11 -
A. Williams 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
C. Taylor 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Sullivan 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wroblewski * 38 6-12 2-5 0-0 6 7 2 0 2 14 15 -
M. Asafo-Adjei * 17 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
E. Peck * 13 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
J. Figini * 9 2-5 1-2 4-4 7 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
J. Matthews * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Coury 30 6-10 0-0 0-1 6 1 2 1 2 12 10 -
M. Groebe 22 4-8 1-4 0-1 3 3 0 0 0 9 7 -
D. Ferry 22 4-6 3-5 2-3 1 1 0 0 2 13 7 -
J. Gray 21 1-6 0-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
A. Wire 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
A. Gatlin 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
E. Chemerinski 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter