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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Porter Braswell * 47 4-9 0-1 2-4 7 3 0 0 3 10 8 -
Greg Mangano * 45 5-10 1-1 9-12 16 0 0 1 2 20 25 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 43 6-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 2 6 15 9 -
Austin Morgan * 42 5-11 2-6 7-8 0 2 0 0 3 19 7 -
Reggie Willhite * 39 8-14 1-2 4-4 6 4 2 0 4 21 15 -
Isaiah Salafia 15 1-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Jesse Pritchard 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Rhett Anderson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Sam Martin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Michael Grace 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Van Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Asenso Ampim * 45 5-18 1-1 0-0 10 0 2 1 3 11 3 -
Meiko Lyles * 42 5-10 3-5 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 14 10 -
Brian Barbour * 40 4-12 1-5 8-8 1 6 2 0 2 17 12 -
Noruwa Agho * 40 8-19 3-5 1-4 3 2 1 0 2 20 5 -
Max Craig * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zack Crimmins 31 7-15 0-0 0-2 8 1 1 0 0 14 9 -
Matt Johnson 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Steve Frankoski 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Dyami Starks 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Mark Cisco 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Dean Kowalski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter