Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (87-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 37 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| E. Carson | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Powell | 22 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Breland | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Spencer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 36 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| L. Harding | 32 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| C. Miller | 22 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Bales | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| I. Castro | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Paris | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Lehning | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Irvin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter