Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +6 (87-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 37 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 22 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Essence Carson | 25 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sidney Spencer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika de Souza * | 36 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Alison Bales * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Coco Miller | 22 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter