Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -10 (74-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Robinson | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 23 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 18 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Porsha Phillips | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 27 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tamera Young | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Angie Bjorklund | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter