Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (79-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 23 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 31 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| LaToya Sanders | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Renee Montgomery * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter