Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -9 (83-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 30 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 22 | - |
| C. Dupree | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 19 | - |
| K. Swanier | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 19 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| O. Sanni | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Sanford | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 7-21 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| L. Harding | 32 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| I. Castro | 25 | 5-17 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| S. Lehning | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Paris | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Bales | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Herrington | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Irvin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter