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2011-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 67.2% 32.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -15 (48-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 15 23 -
D. Dunson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 7 10 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 5 0 1 0 26 41 -
J. Prosser * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 0 6 -
W. Egolf * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Eastman 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 7 13 -
W. Lemon Jr. 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
A. Thompson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 0 11 -
M. Knezevic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
C. Woods 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 4 2 13 21 -
R. Wedel * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 11 14 -
B. Simons * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
J. Clarke * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 3 10 -
S. VanDeest * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
K. Woods 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 3 0 5 21 -
K. Alexander 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
A. Hawley 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
R. Uhlenhopp 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter