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2011-06-21

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 92.8% 7.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Margin 89.3% 10.7% -11.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 76.7% 23.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.8% 8.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.9% 8.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (80-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 34 5-12 1-3 4-4 6 7 1 0 1 15 16 -
Briann January * 32 4-10 1-2 9-10 1 9 3 0 5 18 16 -
Shannon Bobbitt * 12 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Tangela Smith * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jessica Davenport 32 7-10 0-0 4-6 6 1 1 2 2 18 16 -
Shavonte Zellous 30 7-9 1-3 6-7 4 1 1 3 2 21 19 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 29 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
Erin Phillips 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 40 8-14 0-1 7-9 9 1 2 0 2 23 19 -
Kelly Miller * 37 3-9 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 1 4 10 1 -
Nicky Anosike * 34 0-5 0-0 5-8 7 4 3 0 1 5 13 -
Matee Ajavon * 28 4-8 1-3 8-8 1 2 2 0 6 17 8 -
Marissa Coleman * 16 3-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 26 4-9 0-2 5-6 4 0 1 0 0 13 9 -
Jasmine Thomas 11 2-6 0-2 2-5 3 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Ta'Shia Phillips 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter