Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | +4.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaun McLemore * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Lenny Daniel * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Raymond Cody * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Dathan Lyles * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| John Hayward-Mayhew * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Lizarraga | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Aqeel Quinn | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Josh Greene | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Jacobs | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Vinnie McGhee | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Allen Jiles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frankie Eteuati | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Lowenthal * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Sypkens * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Eddie Miller * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Mark Payne * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Howley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mike Kurtz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter