Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +3 (57-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hill * | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Cousin * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Justin Clark | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Trey Blue | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Blake Mishler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kenyon Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Seck * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Carlton Fay * | 34 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| John Freeman * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Diamond Taylor * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Justin Bocot | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Troy Long | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mykel Cleveland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter