Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Cunningham * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Starks * | 28 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Collier * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| A. Brandt * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Burton | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Haynes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Nelson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. McShane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Wallace | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brown | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Deane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| K. Fogg * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Jones * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Perry * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Hill * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Parrom | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Horne | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Mayes | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Lavender | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter