Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -1.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -13 (64-77). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 28 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Monica Wright | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Charde Houston | 7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Amber Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 3-14 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 23 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sandora Irvin * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Coco Miller | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Armintie Herrington | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alison Bales | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 15 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Shalee Lehning | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter