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2011-06-19

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 โœ“ (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +24 (74-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tanisha Wright * 29 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 2 0 -
Sue Bird * 29 6-12 2-4 1-1 5 3 2 0 2 15 11 -
Swin Cash * 28 3-13 1-3 2-2 4 4 3 0 4 9 3 -
Lauren Jackson * 27 3-14 1-6 2-2 4 0 3 1 0 9 3 -
Camille Smith * 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 5 8 4 -
Katie Smith 18 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Le'coe Willingham 14 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Belinda Snell 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ashley Robinson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
Krystal Thomas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -1 -
Ify Ibekwe 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candace Parker * 26 5-8 0-1 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 10 10 -
Noelle Quinn * 25 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 1 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 20 4-7 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
Tina Thompson * 20 2-4 2-2 0-1 3 0 1 1 3 6 4 -
Ticha Penicheiro * 19 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 5 4 -
Ebony Hoffman 23 5-8 1-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 1 12 9 -
Kristi Toliver 22 4-9 0-0 3-3 5 5 2 0 2 11 12 -
Jenna O'Hea 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 3 5 -
Jantel Lavender 13 3-5 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 10 7 -
Natasha Lacy 4 2-5 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
LaToya Sanders 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter