Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✗ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -21 (58-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| I. Castro | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Lehning | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 19 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| E. de Souza | 18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Herrington | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Irvin | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Miller | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kia Vaughn | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 30 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| E. Carson | 29 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| P. Pierson | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Powell | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Breland | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter