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2011-06-14

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: New York Liberty -21 (58-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bales 24 2-2 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 4 1 6 17 -
I. Castro 24 3-9 1-2 2-3 3 3 1 0 1 9 6 -
L. Harding 21 0-4 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 0 2 1 1 -
S. Lehning 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 0 6 -
A. McCoughtry 19 6-11 1-3 5-5 2 0 1 1 3 18 8 -
E. de Souza 18 6-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 12 5 -
S. Lyttle 18 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 10 11 -
A. Herrington 18 3-6 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
S. Irvin 17 3-5 0-0 4-4 7 1 1 0 2 10 12 -
C. Miller 16 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 4 5 -
K. Mazzante 8 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Vaughn 33 8-13 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 3 3 16 12 -
C. Pondexter 30 3-12 0-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 7 -2 -
E. Carson 29 8-18 0-1 5-6 8 0 2 1 2 21 12 -
P. Pierson 27 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
N. Powell 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
L. Mitchell 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Q. Hollingsworth 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
J. Breland 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 -
A. Montgomery 10 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 -
S. Colson 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
S. Spencer 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter