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2011-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 โœ“ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +27 (79-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Harriel * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 13 16 -
Chehales Tapscott * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 3 8 15 -
Phillip Thomas * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 13 -
Melvin Jones * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 7 6 -
Charles Odum * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 5 5 5 -
Nate Lozeau 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Paul Guede 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Phil Nelson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Dane Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
Alonzo Brandon 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 14 20 -
Eric Platt * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 21 25 -
Julian Olubuyi * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 6 15 -
Shane Johannsen * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 1 5 14 -
DeAngelo Jones * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Durrell Norman 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 4 9 14 -
Stallon Saldivar 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 8 0 1 0 0 16 -
Josh Lepley 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 10 -
Gabe Rogers 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
Luis Flores 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Austin Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 7 7 -
Michael Dunn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Player #55051 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter