Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes +6 (70-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogo Adegboye * | 39 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Michael Davenport * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Da'Quan Cook * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Demitrius Conger * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Matthew Wright | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Marquise Simmons | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Brett Roseboro | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Jake Houseknecht | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Saunders * | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +4.4 |
| T.J. McConnell * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | +3.0 |
| Bill Clark * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -1.5 |
| Mike Talley * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -3.0 |
| David Theis * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
| B.J. Monteiro | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Sean Johnson | 22 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +7.1 |
| Joel Wright | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Eric Evans | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
* = starter