Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +3 (51-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papa Dia * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Collin Mangrum * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jeremiah Samarrippas * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Walker * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Robert Nyakundi * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Harp | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Player #51293 | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Justin Haynes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Clinkscales | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tom Herzog * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Tyler * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Young * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Sosa | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter