Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (90-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Pedersen * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 35 | 11-14 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Chastity Reed * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Liz Cambage * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Jackson | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Andrea Riley | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renee Montgomery * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tan White | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter