Model Predictions
| Model | TCU Horned Frogs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Thorns * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J.R. Cadot * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Nikola Cerina * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Garlon Green * | 32 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jarvis Ray * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Hill | 31 | 8-16 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Amric Fields | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Evan Washington * | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Derek Brooks * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tom Fow * | 19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Stewart | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter