Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders +12 (95-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Smith * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Bo Ingram * | 27 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Jordan Reves * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -12.8 |
| Shaquille White-Miller * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Bradley Gay * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -0.6 |
| LaMarcus Reed III | 28 | 8-13 | 7-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 16 | -13.4 |
| Cameron Catlett | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | -5.1 |
| Darius Richardson | 23 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -9.3 |
| Brandon Edwards | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -10.5 |
| Armani Williams | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Stuart Lagerson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Reynolds * | 31 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 23 | +5.9 |
| Demond Watt * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -0.8 |
| Garland Judkins * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Horace Bond * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +14.2 |
| Antonio Topps * | 16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Terence Jones | 32 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 17 | +15.4 |
| Jawan Nelson | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +10.2 |
| Chris Hawkins-Mast | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Hollis Hill | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
* = starter