Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars -18 (64-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gordon * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | +11.5 |
| Phillip McDonald * | 34 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | +14.5 |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Kendall Williams * | 29 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +13.7 |
| Dairese Gary * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 11-14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Tony Snell | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Jamal Fenton | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Alex Kirk | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Cameron Bairstow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Chad Adams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette * | 34 | 10-26 | 1-9 | 12-12 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 19 | -3.6 |
| Jackson Emery * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -16.5 |
| Noah Hartsock * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -11.5 |
| Charles Abouo * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7.2 |
| James Anderson * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Logan Magnusson | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Stephen Rogers | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Brock Zylstra | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Nick Martineau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter