Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +11 (68-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barton * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | -12.1 |
| Antonio Barton * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | -4.8 |
| Chris Crawford * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6.9 |
| Charles Carmouche * | 25 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -18.1 |
| Tarik Black * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -10.3 |
| DJ Stephens | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Will Coleman | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Joe Jackson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -12.3 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jontae Sherrod * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 14-20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 21 | +11.5 |
| Darrius Morrow * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +19.7 |
| Jamar Abrams * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +10.4 |
| Brock Young * | 24 | 2-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Chad Wynn * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Erin Straughn | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Corvonn Gaines | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | +14.0 |
| Robert Sampson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Petar Torlak | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Darius Morales | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter