Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Marble * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jarryd Cole * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Eric May | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Stoermer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Garrick Sherman * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Mike Kebler * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Keith Appling | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Matt Heneveld | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter