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2011-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 13 16 -
D. Marble * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 12 -
J. Cole * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 5 0 2 10 19 -
B. Cartwright * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 0 0 3 11 18 -
M. Basabe * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 13 16 -
E. May 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
Z. McCabe 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 6 14 -
A. Brommer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
J. Stoermer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 0 4 17 21 -
D. Summers * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 11 -
G. Sherman * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 7 9 -
D. Green * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 0 1 12 25 -
M. Kebler * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
K. Appling 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 18 24 -
D. Roe 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 0 7 -
A. Payne 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 8 16 -
A. Thornton 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
D. Nix 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
M. Heneveld 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter