Model Predictions
| Model | Temple Owls | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen -6 (67-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Temple Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavoy Allen * | 44 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -9.1 |
| Juan Fernandez * | 42 | 4-15 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Rahlir Hollis-Jefferson * | 41 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | -16.1 |
| Ramone Moore * | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -1.1 |
| Aaron Brown * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -11.9 |
| Khalif Wyatt | 25 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +7.7 |
| T.J. DiLeo | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -19.0 |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Gurley * | 38 | 8-23 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 3 | +18.8 |
| Javorn Farrell * | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Gary Correia * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Hashim Bailey * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Matt Hill * | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Sean Carter | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +11.3 |
| Terrell Vinson | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +13.3 |
| Sampson Carter | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Raphiael Putney | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +12.1 |
| Freddie Riley | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -5.8 |
* = starter