Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -7 (70-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Mower * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +13.0 |
| Jared Mintz * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | +13.9 |
| Tony Johnson * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +5.9 |
| Rob Delaney * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Darion Benbow * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Ryan Willen | 26 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 9-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Ben Wheeler | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Nick Petkovich | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Levi Giese | 9 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -0.3 |
| J.D. Pelham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Les Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.7 |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Cavataio * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Andrew Beinert * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Devin Brown * | 34 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -4 | -8.9 |
| Andrew Keister * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 | -8.8 |
| Eric Obeysekere * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Jordan Stevens | 23 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Dave Dudzinski | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Josh Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Dee Goens | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
* = starter