Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +27 (87-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Council * | 39 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 1 | - |
| MarShon Brooks * | 38 | 3-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Gerard Coleman * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Kadeem Batts * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bilal Dixon * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bryce Cotton | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Dre Evans | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ray Hall | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Knowles * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Kuric * | 29 | 11-18 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Peyton Siva * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Mike Marra * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| George Goode * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chris Smith | 26 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Terrence Jennings | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter