Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +11 (68-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +2.5 |
| Blake Hoffarber * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Maverick Ahanmisi * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Rodney Williams * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Ralph Sampson III * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Austin Hollins | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Colton Iverson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Chip Armelin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.4 |
| Dominique Dawson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Thompson * | 40 | 4-15 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +6.5 |
| John Shurna * | 38 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Drew Crawford * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Mike Capocci * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Alex Marcotullio | 33 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | +5.7 |
| Davide Curletti | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | +4.0 |
| Ivan Peljusic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Austin Nichols | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Reggie Hearn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Nick Fruendt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter