Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +36 (95-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Johnson * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -15.0 |
| Donavan Bragg * | 34 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -25.0 |
| Stephon Carter * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | -14.1 |
| Rashad Savage * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -3.7 |
| Cory Brown * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -19.6 |
| Ivan Matip | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +8.6 |
| Donald Johnson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -9.6 |
| James Albright | 10 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Kregg Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Robert Hayes | 5 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -2.1 |
| De'Aundray Robinson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.4 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La'Shard Anderson * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Robert Arnold * | 20 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | +13.9 |
| Sean Imadiyi * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Daequon Montreal * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +6.4 |
| Justin Salzwedel * | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Paul Noonan | 26 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | +10.7 |
| Thomas Bropleh | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +7.0 |
| Westly Perryman | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Jeff Elorriaga | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Zach Moritz | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +9.2 |
| Ryan Watkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Tre Nichols | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1.4 |
| Green Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Hicks | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.6 |
* = starter