Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.1% | 2.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.2% | 2.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -16 (50-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gibbs * | 37 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | +10.9 |
| Brad Wanamaker * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +15.3 |
| Nasir Robinson * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +8.4 |
| Gary McGhee * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Gilbert Brown * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +7.6 |
| Dante Taylor | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Lamar Patterson | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Tray Woodall | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.6 |
| J.J. Richardson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
| JJ Moore | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2.5 |
| Aron Phillips-Nwankwo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Nick Rivers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Crater * | 39 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Jarrid Famous * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -10.6 |
| Augustus Gilchrist * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -3.7 |
| Hugh Robertson * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Shaun Noriega * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Jawanza Poland | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Ron Anderson Jr. | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Toarlyn Fitzpatrick | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Mike Burwell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| LaVonte Dority | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Shedrick Haynes | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter