Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.4% | 36.6% | -3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Henson * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 17 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Justin Knox | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Watts | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Derwin Kitchen * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bernard James * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Okaro White * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ian Miller | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Gibson | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Terrance Shannon | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Luke Loucks | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter