Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pascale * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Yaw Gyawu * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Joe Hoban * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Mike Venezia * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Mitch Rolls * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Pat Moore | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sterling Melville | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandon James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Brandenburg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lumpkins * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 35 | - |
| Nick Hendra * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Troy Brewer * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Vlad Moldoveanu * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 | - |
| Steve Luptak * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Munoz | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Charles Hinkle | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter