Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +13 (78-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. O'Brien * | 38 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Josh Watkins * | 36 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 14 | -4.1 |
| Will Clyburn * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +2.8 |
| David Foster * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Shawn Glover * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -4.4 |
| Jason Washburn | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -11.8 |
| Chris Kupets | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Chris Hines | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -5.8 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Ogide * | 35 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 23 | +12.4 |
| Dorian Green * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Adam Nigon * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +12.8 |
| Greg Smith * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Travis Franklin * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Jesse Carr | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | +10.8 |
| Pierce Hornung | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Wes Eikmeier | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +9.4 |
| Will Bell | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Dwight Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Andre McFarland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
* = starter