Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -6 (76-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casper Ware | 35 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 12-14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Robinson | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Greg Plater | 34 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Eugene Phelps | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Larry Anderson | 28 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Edis Dervisevic | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Nevens | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tristan Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Jackson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Richardson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin | 36 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto | 33 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Javon Borum | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| B.J. Shearry | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tyquan Brown | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Delonte Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter