Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson * | 36 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| D. Bost * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Augustus * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| R. Benock * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Bryant | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| W. Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Clarke * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| M. Powell * | 35 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Britt * | 30 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Farmer * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Nobles | 28 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Wade | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Bryant | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter