Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +3 (76-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundrecous Nelson * | 37 | 9-17 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | -14.9 |
| Terrance Henry * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -6.9 |
| Zach Graham * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -11.0 |
| Chris Warren * | 32 | 3-16 | 1-10 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -9.2 |
| Reginald Buckner * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 |
| Nick Williams | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -4.1 |
| Steadman Short | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.1 |
| Demarco Cox | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Trevor Gaskins | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Donald Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Wallace * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +18.2 |
| Kenny Gabriel * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | +10.7 |
| Allen Payne * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | +9.0 |
| Earnest Ross * | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +13.0 |
| Adrian Forbes * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | +11.0 |
| Chris Denson | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -3.9 |
| Josh Langford | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Tony Neysmith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Rob Chubb | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +10.8 |
| Ty Armstrong | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -11.3 |
* = starter