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2011-06-05

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% - โœ—
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.8 โœ— (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 29.9% 70.1% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Dream -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Plenette Pierson * 42 11-17 0-1 3-4 10 3 1 1 2 25 21 -
Cappie Pondexter * 42 5-15 0-4 2-2 3 11 1 0 3 12 9 -
Nicole Powell * 39 6-12 2-5 3-3 6 6 1 1 3 17 16 -
Kia Vaughn * 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 8 9 -
Essence Carson * 25 5-11 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 11 4 -
Leilani Mitchell 22 4-8 3-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 13 5 -
Jessica Breland 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
Quanitra Hollingsworth 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Sidney Spencer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Alex Montgomery 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sancho Lyttle * 42 5-16 1-5 7-10 11 5 4 1 4 18 19 -
Coco Miller * 39 7-14 1-3 1-3 3 2 1 0 2 16 6 -
Lindsey Harding * 33 4-11 0-0 1-2 5 9 0 0 4 9 8 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 30 6-16 2-6 5-7 2 1 0 1 1 19 6 -
Erika de Souza * 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Alison Bales 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
Armintie Herrington 20 5-8 0-0 3-4 1 1 3 0 0 13 10 -
Shalee Lehning 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 2 2 0 4 -
Sandora Irvin 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter